Wednesday, July 22, 2009

ACM / Economic calendar and daily foreign exchange news & analysis

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Daily Newsletter: 22/07/2009 
By Peter Rosenstreich - ACM Advanced Currency Markets, Geneva, Switzerland
Today's Economic Calendar:
 TIME (GMT)    EVENT  VALUE NAME   CONS.  
01:30    AU:CPI Year over Year 1.6%  
    Quarter over Quarter 0.6%  
06:45    FR:Consumer Mfgd Goods Consumption Month over Month 0.2%  
    Year over Year 0%  
11:00    US:MBA Purchase Applications Purchase Index - Level 0  
12:30    CA:Retail Sales Month over Month 0.5%  
    Year over Year 0%  
14:30    US:EIA Petroleum Status Report Crude oil inventories (weekly change) 0M barrels  
23:50    JP:Merchandise Trade Level Y620B  

Full week Economic Calendar        

Bernanke is in No Rush to Tighten Rates & FX Markets Remain Rangebound
News and Events:
Caterpillar's upside earnings surprise and China State Construction Engineering Corp. reporting that they are moving closer their IPO (potentially raising $7.34 billion) provided a temporary boost to optimism.

Australia's CPI came in slightly lower than expected with headline printing at 0.5% q/q , 1.5% y/y (while the RBAs weighted median measure surprised to the upside).

Bernanke's strategy of pre-empting Congress by releasing a WSJ article the night before, which contained the core themes, worked perfectly.

Today, we expect the MPC minutes to weigh on the sterling and perhaps trigger an extend correction the GBP.

Read Today's Key Issues and The Risk Today        



Resistance and Support:
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
1.4350 1.6620 96.20 1.1300
1.4280 1.6590 95.50 1.1225
1.4250 1.6470 94.60 1.1170
1.4193 1.6368 93.57 1.1065
1.4090 1.6230 92.30 1.0650
1.4055 1.6190 92.15 1.0590
1.3990 1.6145 91.80 1.0550
S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot


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