Friday, July 3, 2009

ACM - Asian Session Snap shot (03/07/09)

Asian Session: NFP's disappoint as ECB stays put on rates – low volumes today for 4th July holiday.
Snap-Shot
03 July 2009 - 11:23 CEST  
G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
NZD0.591
AUD0.494
CAD0.388
JPY0.103
DKK-0.091
EUR-0.098
CHF-0.178
NOK-0.270
GBP-0.272
SEK-0.699

Global indexes Current level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index9816- 0.61
Hang Seng Index18203+ 0.14
Shanghai Index3088+ 0.92
FTSE 100 Index4236+ 0.06
DAX Index4718- 0.28
DJIA futures8251+ 0.12
Nasdaq futures1445 0.00

World markets Current level % Change
Gold9331.88+ 0.23
Silver13.415+ 0.15
VIX27.95+ 6.60
Crude wti66.41- 0.48
USD Index80.307+ 0.20


Todays calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
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Currency Tech

AUDUSD
R 3: 0.8375
R 2: 0.8263
R 1: 0.8150
CURRENT: 0.7990
S 1: 0.7985
S 2: 0.7930
S 3: 0.7900

EURJPY
R 3: 139.20
R 2: 138.33
R 1: 136.46
CURRENT: 134.25
S 1: 134.00
S 2: 133.61
S 3: 131.41

USDSGD
R 3: 1.4800
R 2: 1.4748
R 1: 1.4649
CURRENT: 1.4515
S 1: 1.4454
S 2: 1.4385
S 3: 1.4334

Market Brief

NFP's disappoint by showing a -467K decline in payrolls, 100K more than the consensus. This underlines the vast layoffs from the GM and Chrysler debacle and the continuing difficulty to revive the economy. The EURUSD dropped from it's high 1.41's as low as 1.3930 before rebounding. While the pair broke it's range momentarily only a healthy breakout below the 1.3900 support will prove sufficient for a substantial move.

The ECB kept rates at 1.00% followed by an uninspiring press conference by Trichet. No comments on whether the rates would fall further but it was clear that no hikes would come before 2010.

Volumes will inevitably be low today as the U.S is off for a pre-4th July holiday. We expect currencies to stay in tight ranges but large funds, sovereign or private entering the markets could provide large moves.

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