Tuesday, June 30, 2009

ACM / Economic calendar and daily foreign exchange news & analysis

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Daily Newsletter: 30/06/2009 
By Loic Bondiguel - ACM Advanced Currency Markets, Geneva, Switzerland
Today's Economic Calendar:
 TIME (GMT)    EVENT  VALUE NAME   CONS.  
06:45    FR:PPI Month over Month 0.2%  
    Year over Year 0%  
07:50    DE:Unemployment Rate - Total Level 8.3%  
08:00    IT:PPI Month over Month 0%  
    Year over Year 0%  
08:00    EMU:M3 Money Supply Year over Year 4.8%  
08:30    GB:GDP Quarter over Quarter -2.2%  
    Year over Year -4.4%  
09:00    IT:CPI Month over Month 0.2%  
    Year over Year 0.7%  
09:00    EMU:HICP Flash Year over Year -0.2%  
11:45    US:ICSC-Goldman Store Sales Store Sales - W/W change 0%  
    Store Sales - Y/Y 0%  
12:30    CA:Monthly GDP Year over Year 0%  
    Month over Month -0.1%  
12:30    CA:IPPI Year over Year 0%  
    Month over Month -0.6%  
12:30    CA:RMPI Year over Year 0%  
    Month over Month 2%  
12:55    US:Redbook Store Sales Y/Y change 0%  
13:00    US:S&P Case-Shiller HPI S&P/Case-Shiller Composite 10 0  
    S&P/Case-Shiller Composite 20 0  
13:45    US:Chicago PMI Business Barometer Index - Level 40  
14:00    US:Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence - Level 57  
23:50    JP:Tankan Large Mfrs Level -48  
23:50    JP:Tankan Small Mfrs Level 0  

Full week Economic Calendar        

Risk appetite creeps back into markets
News and Events:
The yen slipped across the board on Monday due to higher oil price, gains in share prices and a better-than-expected sentiment in the euro-zone which boosted hopes of a global recovery, helping investor risk appetite. Investors feel more confident and risky assets are bid again.

The EUR carried on the trend set in London with continued buying versus the USD, consolidating on the 1.41 level before breaking higher over NY closing bell. Market was pretty quiet with most people having one eye on Madoff's sentencing.
Equity markets were higher across the board, especially from the Banking and Housing sectors, though US markets made only modest gains despite solid upswings across Europe.

The Far East began with continued GBPUSD buying filling stops through above the 1.6605/25 Band. This continued through out the session. EURGBP month end demand expected later today.
EUR/USD continued to push higher testing last weeks high of 1.4138, triggering many orders around 1.4130. These will not stop EUR rally just merely holds it up for the time being.

USD was a touch lower overnight as investors braved thinning markets to push the risk rally even further. Equity indices in Asia-Pacific followed their European and US counterparts but volumes are light in general as summer trading patterns take hold. The VIX index has now fallen back to levels last seen prior to the events of September 2008.

Read Today's Key Issues and The Risk Today        



Resistance and Support:
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
1.4270 1.6845 97.90 1.1025
1.4180 1.6790 97.20 1.0955
1.4130 1.6750 96.35 1.0910
1.4083 1.6616 95.40 1.0825
1.3984 1.6545 94.40 1.0710
1.3889 1.6505 93.85 1.0675
1.3827 1.6425 92.60 1.0630
S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot


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