Friday, June 26, 2009

ACM / Economic calendar and daily foreign exchange news & analysis

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Daily Newsletter: 26/06/2009 
By Loic Bondiguel - ACM Advanced Currency Markets, Geneva, Switzerland
Today's Economic Calendar:
 TIME (GMT)    EVENT  VALUE NAME   CONS.  
04:00    DE:CPI Month over Month 0.2%  
    Year over Year -0.1%  
04:30    JP:All Industry Index Month over Month 0%  
    Year over Year 0%  
06:45    FR:GDP Quarter over Quarter -1.2%  
    Year over Year -3.2%  
12:30    US:Personal Income and Outlays Personal Income - M/M change 0.4%  
    Consumer Spending - M/M change 0.3%  
    Core PCE price index - M/M change 0.1%  
13:55    US:Consumer Sentiment Sentiment Index - Level 69.7  

Full week Economic Calendar        

EUR & GBP locked in downside consolidation
News and Events:
Thursday's trading can best be described as 'scrappy'. There was no dominant theme for traders to cling to so they were cautious and reverted to type, following equity markets moves as a signal for risk appetite and as a barometer for the Dollar.
The CHF seemed to be the subject of intervention (again there was no official comment from the SNB) as, on two occasions, the Swiss Franc took a sharp dive lower within a few hours, only to edge back a little.
US data confirmed something that has been growing as a matter of concern overseas; namely, the persistence of unemployment. US initial claims were higher than expected and, alongside other nations including the United Kingdom, look like being a matter of increasing concern in the coming months and years. However, despite these worries, US equities managed to stage a strong late rally which saw the DJIA and S&P close over 2% up on the day and led to a quick Dollar decline to end the proceedings.
Risk appetite this week has been of a volatile nature with renewed bounce in risk leading to a weaker greenback overnight. Again there was some demand for JPY crosses from the Japanese investment community, particularly AUD/JPY which prompted a round of stops in AUD/USD above 0.8050 to be triggered. This had the knock on effect of pushing EUR/USD higher to trigger stops above 1.4020 and it was a similar story for GBP/USD which rose to 1.6440.

Read Today's Key Issues and The Risk Today        



Resistance and Support:
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
1.4185 1.6625 97.20 1.1025
1.4115 1.6600 96.70 1.0990
1.4085 1.6525 96.40 1.0950
1.4045 1.6452 96.08 1.0926
1.3980 1.6365 95.60 1.0875
1.3935 1.6295 95.20 1.0825
1.3880 1.6230 94.85 1.0765
S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot


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